Why Your Professional Services Forecasts Are Failing and How They’re Impacting Your Profitability

Frank Nardi

Nov 20 2024 9 min read

Accurate forecasting is crucial for the success of any business. It’s particularly important for professional services teams, which rely heavily on resource allocation, revenue prediction, and project timelines to ensure that both client commitments and businesses profitability needs are met. 

The catch? Professional services teams just aren’t forecasting correctly. 

The stats are damning: Only 47% of professional services teams have a formalized process for forecasting resourcing needs. 75% of organizations are still using outdated – and error-prone – spreadsheets to forecast resources. And 50% of organizations can’t accurately forecast more than two months in advance.

Resource forecasting improves our ability to proactively meet the needs of our future demand, ensures effective utilization of our team (and prevents squeezing onboarding time for any new team members), and impacts whether we can even deliver our projects on-time and on-budget. 

All of these factors impact overall business performance. Given the high stakes, getting forecasting as accurate as possible should be non-negotiable, and clearly professional services teams aren’t setting out to get it wrong. So, what’s happening?

So, what is the real cost of these project overruns and how is Cloud Coach tackling the issue head-on to prevent revenue leakage?

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Data Silos

Data is sitting in too many places. These data silos make it difficult to obtain a unified, real-time view of what’s happening across projects. Sales teams might update Salesforce with information about contract or scope changes, but don’t touch your project management system, leaving your professional services teams none-the-wiser. Elsewhere, project managers may not communicate resource constraints effectively with finance teams, and so on. 

There’s a lot of valuable information slipping through the cracks, stuck in disconnected systems, notepads, and even individual brains, which could, in part, be solved with a credible tech stack…

Inadequate Tech Stacks

Many teams still rely on legacy systems, elaborate Excel spreadsheet libraries (usually built over several years and held together by one all-powerful individual), and a host of other disconnected tools that can’t provide a comprehensive view of your organization’s resources, project statuses, or financial information. If this sounds like your organization, the alarm bells should be ringing!

These, often manual, methods are not only time-consuming but also prone to errors, especially when dealing with complex data sets or shifting project variables. Many firms also lack the advanced tools or automation necessary for accurate forecasting. The inability to leverage automation for forecasting results in missed opportunities to optimize resources and revenue. 

Outdated technology also leaves teams vulnerable when accounting for ‘what if?’ scenarios. What does our resource capacity look like if project x comes in? Do we need to plan additional resources? Do we have a contingency plan for if it doesn’t come in? 

Organizations need to plan the resources with a comprehensive view accounting for all known business variables. Spreadsheets almost always fall short.

Misalignment of Revenue Goals and Resource Capacity

Another issue we frequently see is a misalignment between revenue goals and actual resource capacity. It’s easy to see how this issue creeps in.

Many organizations set ambitious revenue targets without being able to assess whether they have the resources (in terms of people, skills, and time) to meet those goals. And, with the data silos and outdated technology we’ve mentioned, how could they? 

Without a clear view of resource utilization and availability, professional services teams often end up overcommitting to projects that either strain their resources or fall short of expectations. This end result is obvious: unrealistic project timelines, budget overruns, strained team productivity… and, ultimately, an impact on profits.

Flat Forecasting, Falling Profits

Inaccurate forecasting can have a significant impact on cash flow planning and the overall financial stability of professional services firms. Here are a few examples:

Revenue Mismatch and Unpredictability: Inaccurate forecasting often results in a mismatch between projected billable hours and the actual hours worked, causing cash flow to become unpredictable. When firms fail to forecast project timelines, resource needs, and budgets accurately, they are either over-billing or under-billing clients. Overestimating revenue from ongoing projects can lead to cash flow shortages when clients dispute charges or when projects get delayed, leaving organizations scrambling to cover operational costs like payroll.

Cash Flow Disruptions and Liquidity Issues: Cash flow disruptions often arise when firms do not accurately predict the timing of billings or project completion dates.Some teams, for example, might overcommit resources or fail to properly scope projects, causing delays and cash flow shortfalls when payments are delayed or revenue recognition is postponed.

Budget Overruns and Cost Management Issues: Another direct consequence of inaccurate forecasting is budget overruns. Without a solid understanding of resource requirements and project scope, professional services teams often exceed their budgeted costs, leading to cash flow issues. 

Increased Financial Risk and Stress: As project forecasting inaccuracies grow, the level of financial risk increases. Poor forecasting directly contributes to financial uncertainty, especially in firms that rely on timely billing and efficient resource management to maintain profitability.

Protecting Your Business With Accurate Professional Services Forecasting

Accurate forecasting is essential for effective cash flow planning and financial stability in professional services firms. When forecasting goes wrong – whether due to reliance on outdated data, miscommunication between teams, or a use of outdated systems – the consequences are felt across the business, from unpredictable cash flows to strained budgets and reduced profitability. 

It all sounds simple, right? Get forecasting right, save money in the long run. Easy

Obviously it’s not quite so simple. Every organization is different and every team has unique processes – but the solution usually starts in the same place: if you get the data right, get the system right, and eliminate data silos, you’ll be on the right track! 

Are you ready to futureproof your professional services forecasting? Talk to Cloud Coach to find out how you can optimize resource planning, improve cash flow accuracy, and ensure financial stability with real-time insights and automation.

AUTHOR

Frank Nardi

Frank Nardi is CEO at Cloud Coach.

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